Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Written By Stéphane Vannitsem
Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts
  • Publsiher : Elsevier
  • Release : 17 May 2018
  • ISBN : 012812248X
  • Pages : 362 pages
  • Rating : 4/5 from 21 reviews
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Read or download book entitled Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts written by Stéphane Vannitsem which was release on 17 May 2018, this book published by Elsevier. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle Format. Book excerpt: Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After an introductory section on ensemble forecasts and prediction systems, the second section of the book is devoted to exposition of the methods available for statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts: univariate and multivariate ensemble postprocessing are first reviewed by Wilks (Chapters 3), then Schefzik and Möller (Chapter 4), and the more specialized perspective necessary for postprocessing forecasts for extremes is presented by Friederichs, Wahl, and Buschow (Chapter 5). The second section concludes with a discussion of forecast verification methods devised specifically for evaluation of ensemble forecasts (Chapter 6 by Thorarinsdottir and Schuhen). The third section of this book is devoted to applications of ensemble postprocessing. Practical aspects of ensemble postprocessing are first detailed in Chapter 7 (Hamill), including an extended and illustrative case study. Chapters 8 (Hemri), 9 (Pinson and Messner), and 10 (Van Schaeybroeck and Vannitsem) discuss ensemble postprocessing specifically for hydrological applications, postprocessing in support of renewable energy applications, and postprocessing of long-range forecasts from months to decades. Finally, Chapter 11 (Messner) provides a guide to the ensemble-postprocessing software available in the R programming language, which should greatly help readers implement many of the ideas presented in this book. Edited by three experts with strong and complementary expertise in statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, this book assesses the new and rapidly developing field of ensemble forecast postprocessing as an extension of the use of statistical corrections to traditional deterministic forecasts. Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts is an essential resource for researchers, operational practitioners, and students in weather, seasonal, and climate forecasting, as well as users of such forecasts in fields involving renewable energy, conventional energy, hydrology, environmental engineering, and agriculture. Consolidates, for the first time, the methodologies and applications of ensemble forecasts in one succinct place Provides real-world examples of methods used to formulate forecasts Presents the tools needed to make the best use of multiple model forecasts in a timely and efficient manner

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts
  • Author : Stéphane Vannitsem,Daniel S. Wilks,Jakob Messner
  • Publisher : Elsevier
  • Release Date : 2018-05-17
  • Total pages : 362
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After ...

Statistical Methods for Post processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts

Statistical Methods for Post processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts
  • Author : Robin Mark Williams
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 2016
  • Total pages : 212
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Download or read online Statistical Methods for Post processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts written by Robin Mark Williams, published by which was released on 2016. Get Statistical Methods for Post processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts Books now! Available in PDF, ePub and Kindle....

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences
  • Author : Daniel S. Wilks
  • Publisher : Elsevier
  • Release Date : 2019-06-09
  • Total pages : 840
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Fourth Edition, continues the tradition of trying to meet the needs of students, researchers and operational practitioners. This updated edition not only includes expanded sections built upon the strengths of the prior edition, but also provides new content where there have been advances in ...

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  • Publisher : Academic Press
  • Release Date : 2013-06-25
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  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment is a vital text for solar energy professionals, addressing a critical gap in the core literature of the field. As major barriers to solar energy implementation, such as materials cost and low conversion efficiency, continue to fall, issues of intermittency and reliability have come ...

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Monthly Weather Review
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  • ISBN : 012812248X
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  • Publisher : Cambridge University Press
  • Release Date : 2010-12-02
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Summary : This textbook provides a comprehensive yet accessible treatment of weather and climate prediction, for graduate students, researchers and professionals. It teaches the strengths, weaknesses and best practices for the use of atmospheric models. It is ideal for the many scientists who use such models across a wide variety of applications. ...

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  • Author : Anonim
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  • Release Date : 2021-04-14
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Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction

Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
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  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 1999
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Summary : Download or read online Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction written by , published by which was released on 1999. Get Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction Books now! Available in PDF, ePub and Kindle....

Science

Science
  • Author : John Michels (Journalist)
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  • Release Date : 2005
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Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation

Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation
  • Author : Anonim
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 2004
  • Total pages : 36
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Ensemble prediction systems typically show positive spread-error correlation, but are subject to forecast bias and underdispersion. This work proposes the use of ensemble model output statistics (EMOS), an easy to implement post-processing technique that addresses both forecast bias and underdispersion. The technique is based on multiple linear regression. The EMOS ...

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  • Author : World Meteorological Organization
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 2005
  • Total pages : 212
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Download or read online Bulletin written by World Meteorological Organization, published by which was released on 2005. Get Bulletin Books now! Available in PDF, ePub and Kindle....

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Summary : Download or read online Journal of the American Statistical Association written by , published by which was released on 2007. Get Journal of the American Statistical Association Books now! Available in PDF, ePub and Kindle....

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Summary : Download or read online Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics written by , published by which was released on 2007. Get Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Books now! Available in PDF, ePub and Kindle....

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  • Author : O. Thiele,R.A. Schiffer
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 1985
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  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Download or read online Understanding Climate written by O. Thiele,R.A. Schiffer, published by which was released on 1985. Get Understanding Climate Books now! Available in PDF, ePub and Kindle....

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  • Release Date : 2021-04-14
  • Total pages : 212
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Download or read online Conference on Applied Climatology written by , published by which was released on . Get Conference on Applied Climatology Books now! Available in PDF, ePub and Kindle....